![]() The damage bill for this epic quake? A whopping US$289 billion in estimated reconstruction costs.īy contrast, a weaker quake of magnitude 8.2 would damage 2.5 million homes and cost $183 billion, while an 8.0 quake would affect 2 million homes, costing $145 billion, the firm estimates.īefore we get any further, it's worth pointing out that the CoreLogic study hasn't been peer-reviewed by other scientists, so we need to bear that in mind when we consider its findings. The short version: it's not pretty.Īccording to the new analysis from researchers at US-based real estate intelligence firm CoreLogic, a single massive earthquake of magnitude 8.3 running the length of the San Andreas fault line could result in damage to a stunning 3.5 million homes throughout Northern and Southern California. Scientists used to think that the 1,300-km (800-mile) San Andreas fault line wasn't capable of rupturing all at once, but revised modelling by the US Geological Survey (USGS) last year showed that wasn't the case.Īnd now, scientists have extrapolated from that data to see just what the 'big one' would really mean for people living in California.
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